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OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 20:00
Global oil demand will plateau around 2030, according to a major new report, but the decline in demand is way too slow to head off the worsening effects of climate change. Oil demand begins to flatten out in the 2030s “under pressure from rising fuel efficiency and the electrification of mobility,” The International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its widely-anticipated annual World Energy Outlook. However, the agency does not see a peak in CO2 emissions through 2040, even in a scenario that incorporates some intended policy targets. The…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 18:00
A single drone missile can wreak as much havoc on the oil markets as a world war at this point. If one already obvious point was hit home on September 14th, it was this: Oil facilities the world over are gaping giants of vulnerability. The Saudi’s couldn’t protect their oil even with U.S. military support because it’s too vast an operation, and defense is designed without 21st Century, high-tech attacks launched by unclear actors in mind. But the Saudi attack wasn’t designed for destruction. It was a message…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 17:00
Mexico’s state-run Pemex has no intention of paying the ransom that cyber attackers have requested, Mexico’s Energy Minister and Pemex board chairman Rocio Nahle said on Wednesday, according to Reuters. Cyber attackers targeted Pemex’s administrative headquarters in Mexico City, without disruption to it’s the oil company’s plants and wells. Nevertheless, the incident highlights the growing importance of cybersecurity in the oil and gas industry and all its critical infrastructure across the globe. The demanded ransom…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 16:50
The American Petroleum Institute (API) has estimated a crude oil inventory draw of 500,000 barrels for the week ending November 7, compared to analyst expectations of a 1.649-million-barrel build. Last week saw a build in crude oil inventories of 4.26 million barrels, according to API data. The EIA’s estimates, however, reported a build of 7.9-million barrels for that week. After today’s inventory move, the net draw for the year now sits at 8.76 million barrels for the 46-week reporting period so far, using API data. Oil prices were…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 16:46
Big Oil will likely snub Brazil’s huge oil auctions next year, just as they did in this year’s highly anticipated bid rounds, because projects and prospects around the world are competing for the majors’ disciplined capital spending, the head of BP in Brazil told local economic daily Valor Economico in an interview.
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 16:00
Wormholes: the modern-day equivalent of the Philosopher’s stone, a concept that has captured the imagination of millions of sci-fi fans and has appeared in multiple films and novels. Alas, all of them are fictional. Yet, wormholes remain theoretically possible, and if they exist, we now have a way of locating them. Sort of. Last month, a researcher from the University at Buffalo made headlines with a paper that detailed a way of detecting a wormhole in our very own Milky Way galaxy. In it, physics professor Dejan Stojkovic explains that since…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 16:00
In what could be just days ahead of the most-anticipated initial public offering ever, investment banks continue to give enormous ranges in their low and high estimates of how much Saudi Arabia’s oil giant Aramco is really worth. Morgan Stanley is the latest bank to have put a massive US$1 trillion gap between the low and high estimates of Saudi Aramco, Bloomberg reported on Wednesday, citing a presentation it has seen. Bankers at Morgan Stanley have calculated that in the most bearish case, Aramco is worth US$1.06 trillion,…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 14:30
Economic growth in Central Asia and the South Caucasus will remain lackluster in 2020, slowing slightly in most countries, the International Monetary Fund says in its latest regional outlook, published late last month. Overall, the IMF estimates 4.4 percent economic growth in this region next year, a far cry from the 7.8 percent growth averaged between 2000 and 2015. (Click to enlarge) Growth had been steadily climbing following the sharp slump in 2016, when region-wide growth decelerated to 2.3 percent owing to the slowdown…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 14:00
Last week Saudi Arabia’s national oil company Aramco announced its intention to publicly offer shares on the Riyadh stock exchange. The IPO has been pending for several years, but many questions still abound. One of the most important is “What is Aramco actually worth?” It’s a difficult question, because it really depends on how you measure it. The valuation among 16 banks that offered a valuation ranged from $1.1 trillion up to $2.5 trillion. When you try to compare Aramco to a Western supermajor like ExxonMobil,…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 13:00
What Does Hong Kong Have To Do With Oil Prices? Nothing moves oil up or down right now like the U.S.-China trade war, and what is happening in Hong Kong will likely reverberate on this most economically devastating playing field. The major spike in tensions in Hong Kong this week should be high on the oil investor radar. By mid-Tuesday, police had arrested nearly 300 people in massively intensifying protests, and they spared no-one, whether they were 12 or in their 80s. While this is all going down, Trump is making sure that the Hong Kong Human…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 13:00
Crude oil markets came under pressure this week as Saudi Arabia reported a full production rebound in October and traders grew impatient over progress on a US/China trade deal. Like everyone else, we’re still waiting for a deal to clear the macro skies and set the stage for a risk-on rally. However, recent DOE data has us nervous Trump/Xi cooperation won’t be enough to clear the overhang of crude oil stocks. In the Middle East, Saudi Arabia confirmed October crude production at 10.3m bpd. The mark represented a 1.2m bpd improvement…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 13:00
This week has witnessed a great flurry of news regarding the creation of a new Middle Eastern benchmark from the UAE flagship crude Murban. Intercontinental Exchange stated it will list Murban next year – partnered by Total, Shell, BP, Vitol and others – with the stated aim of creating a transparent, regulated and commercially usable Middle Eastern benchmark. Setting up Murban would be revolutionary, especially for ADNOC as it would provide the first light Middle Eastern benchmark. It would be terrific news for Asian refiners who, at…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 12:30
As the weather turns colder in North America, the refined products market focus turns to distillate products. The fall season typically brings diesel demand, seasonal refinery maintenance, and expectations for how winter heating demand will shape the distillate supply/demand balance. This year, the upcoming implementation of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) 2020 bunker fuel regulations adds another price-impacting factor to the mix, with the IMO set to lower bunker fuel sulfur specifications for ships globally from 3.5 percent…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 12:00
The U.S. and China will reach a trade deal, and therefore remove the “dark cloud” hanging over the oil market, OPEC Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo said on the sidelines of an energy conference on Wednesday. The U.S.-China trade spat has weighed heavily on the pace of global economic growth and, as a result, on global oil demand growth in recent months. Oil market participants have been concerned that the prolonged trade war is undermining economies, trade, and oil demand growth and is capping any significant price gains, even when…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 11:30
Bolivia’s President Evo Morales was overthrown in a military coup on November 10. He is now in Mexico. Before he left office, Morales had been involved in a long project to bring economic and social democracy to his long-exploited country. It is important to recall that Bolivia has suffered a series of coups, often conducted by the military and the oligarchy on behalf of transnational mining companies. Initially, these were tin firms, but tin is no longer the main target in Bolivia. The main target is its massive deposits of…
OilPrice.com 11/13/2019 11:15
The transportation industry boasts this inglorious claim to fame: It’s responsible for nearly 30 percent of all greenhouse gas emissions in the United States. Of that, cars and trucks alone are believed to be responsible for nearly one-fifth of all U.S. emissions. But here’s another figure that the transportation industry doesn’t want tossed around: A loss of $87 billion. It’s not profit loss. It’s how much Americans lost on average every year due to traffic congestion. Americans have lost an…

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