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We study the real-time signals provided by the Aruoba-Diebold-Scotti Index of Business conditions (ADS) for tracking economic activity at high frequency. We start with exit from the Great Recession, comparing the evolution of real-time vintage beliefs to a "final" late-vintage chronology. We then consider entry into the Pandemic Recession, again tracking the evolution of real-time vintage beliefs. ADS swings widely as its underlying economic indicators swing widely, but the emerging ADS path as of this writing (late June) indicates a return to growth in May. The trajectory of the nascent recovery, however, is highly uncertain (particularly as COVID-19 spreads in the South and West) and could be revised or eliminated as new data arrive.
Measuring physician quality is fundamental to understanding healthcare productivity, yet patient sorting can confound attempts to estimate the types of physicians that improve survival. This paper aims to overcome selection bias by exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in the mix of physicians available to treat patients when they are admitted to the hospital via the emergency department. One innovation is the construction of proxy measures for the types of physicians available using 100% Medicare claims data. Physician characteristics considered include specialty training, medical school quality rankings, sex, years of experience, and patient volume. The main finding is that when heart failure patients enter the hospital when more cardi.
The application of machine learning (ML) to randomized controlled trials (RCTs) can quantify and improve misallocation in healthcare. We study the decision to prescribe anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation patients; anticoagulation reduces stroke risk but increases hemorrhage risk. We combine observational data on treatment choice and guideline use with ML estimates of heterogeneous treatment effects from eight RCTs. When physicians adopt a clinical guideline, treatment decisions shift towards the recommendation but adherence remains far from perfect. Improving guideline adherence would produce larger gains than informing physicians about guidelines. Adherence to an optimal rule would prevent 47% more strokes without increasing hemorrhage.
Excelsior (Mexico) 07/06/2020 00:07
David Vicenteño. CIUDAD DE MÉXICO. Una comisión intersecretarial estará pendiente de atender los resultados de consultas y peticiones de las comunidades por donde correrá el Tren Maya, indicó Rogelio Jiménez Pons Gómez, director general del Fondo Nacional de Fomento al Turismo (Fonatur). “Hay una comisión intersecretarial que garantiza que el resultado de las consultas, en términos de las necesidades de las comunidades, ya tiene que estar canalizando a distintas dependencias. “Y esta es la parte más importante del proyecto, porque muchas comunidades podrán decir ‘qué bueno que pase el tren, ¿y el agua, de dónde la van a sacar, qué va a pasar con mi milpa?’, ahí es en donde esta comisión intersecretarial va a dar los apoyos, para que el tren (Japan) 07/06/2020 00:06
ラクガキ キングダム ラクガキ キングダム 配信元 TAITO 配信日 2020/07/06 スマートフォン向け新作RPG 『ラクガキ キングダム』事前登録 5万人達成 声優陣のサイン入りカードが当たるプレゼントキャンペーン開催中! 株式会社タイトー(本社:東京都新宿区、以下タイトー)は、2020年夏 リリース予定のスマートフォン 向け 新作 RPG「ラクガキ キングダム」 において、 事前登録者数が 5万人 を達成いたしました 。 また、本作のキャンペーン・最新… (Indonesia) 07/06/2020 00:05, SEMARANG -- Potensi penularan Covid-19 di lingkungan perusahaan, seperti klaster perusahaan Semarang, ternyata sudah menjadi perhatian pemerintah. Meski tidak secara khusus menyinggung Semarang, Kementerian Kesehatan (Kemenkes) telah merilis panduan kenormalan baru atau new normal di tempat kerja alias perusahaan. Diberitakan sebelumnya, muncul lagi klaster baru penularan Covid-19 di Semarang, yakni klaster perusahaan atau pabrik. […]. .

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