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BeefRead 10/23/2020 12:37
By Cassie Fish, CME cattle futures have acted pretty good today after multiple days of a dramatic sell-off. Has the market gotten cheap enough? Looking out through the 2021 strip, the highest priced contract is April 2021 at just under $110, only $1.75 cheaper than the cash cattle average top two weeks ago. After this $10 break, prices appear ...
BeefRead 10/22/2020 13:49
By Cassie Fish, CME cattle futures are in a free fall, led by most active Dec LC and Feb LC. The Oct/Dec LC spread is into even money, unthinkable by most at the beginning of this week. To say this week’s sell-off is stunningly bad is an understatement. Oct LC is below the Aug LC expiration. The entire complex ...
BeefRead 10/21/2020 13:07
By Cassie Fish, CME cattle futures rallied off an ugly low yesterday and have spent todaytrading both sides of steady. Feeder cattle futures, which led the big breakdown, followed by deferred live cattle futures act the strongest while thefront months of live cattle futures flounder. Cash cattle prices have tumbled this week as basis traders rang theregister. Cash prices ...
BeefRead 10/20/2020 10:54
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BeefRead 10/19/2020 13:24
By Cassie Fish, The sharp decline and massive liquidation experienced by CME live cattle futures last week is continuing today more intensely. Last week LC futures lost 15k in open interest and declined 400 points only to add another 300 to that loss today in dramatic and intimidating fashion. Cattle open interest for October is its lowest since October ...
BeefRead 10/16/2020 13:05
By Cassie Fish, It has been a disappointing week for cattle futures bulls or sellers of fed cattle. Futures have had an unexpectedly big down week, losing 13k in open interest in 4 days. Most active Dec LC is down almost 400 points from last Friday’s close and 447 points from last Friday’s high. Today’s Dec LC low is ...
BeefRead 10/15/2020 12:49
By Cassie Fish, The second largest cattle slaughter since social distancing was confirmed today by the USDA, 664k head, just 1k less than the 665k posted in June. However, the fed slaughter that same week was 525k head however, 8k less than that same week in June when the fed slaughter was 533k. This also falls short of larger ...
BeefRead 10/14/2020 12:54
By Cassie Fish, Someone wants out of cattle futures. OI lost 9300 contracts already this week and though futures had a nice rally off the lows yesterday and tried to follow-through higher today, the market soon failed again. No one seems to know where the relentless selling is coming from. The only hint is that the most recent Commitment ...
BeefRead 10/13/2020 12:46
By Cassie Fish, After a huge open interest dump yesterday of 6k contracts on a hard down day, CME cattle futures tried to rally early only to give way to new lows for the move- with the exception of spot Oct LC. Feeder cattle futures have been signaling it for weeks, well below their 100-day moving average and now ...
BeefRead 10/12/2020 14:17
By Cassie Fish, CME cattle futures have been down hard most of the day, the high of the day the opening range. Rumors are flying that there is a plant down or will be a plant down, though other than a smaller plant back east that slaughters a mix of cows, fed Holsteins and fed native cattle, there are ...
BeefRead 10/09/2020 12:57
By Cassie Fish, Negotiated cash cattle are trading today at $109 in the south, the highest since the week ending June 5, when cash averaged $112.39. As feedlots become more current, leverage is ever so slowly shifting more to the cattle feeder. Last week’s average was just over $107. It’s too soon to know the final tally for volume, ...
BeefRead 10/07/2020 12:44
By Cassie Fish, It’s not the most exciting rally to watch, but CME live cattle futures keep inching higher, Oct LC making a new high for the move and Dec LC posting an outside day with a great shot of a higher close. Yesterday’s deliveries magically disappeared and there were no new tenders. The futures strength occurred just as ...
BeefRead 10/01/2020 13:21
By Cassie Fish, The negotiated cash cattle trade got underway yesterday trading and continuing today at $107. In mid-August, cash averaged $106.59, the highest since early June when the cash left a monster gap between $112.39 and $104.98 using the 5-area average. Likely this week’s average will exceed the August high and cash will move higher over the course ...
BeefRead 09/30/2020 11:59
By Cassie Fish, CME cattle futures posted impressive gains yesterday accompanied by 63k in volume and 6.4k contract increase in open interest, pushing OI to almost 304k for the first time in months. Today’s action has been green, but quiet, the market gathering energy after yesterday’s push. Quite telling in hindsight, the support on futures breaks since early September ...
BeefRead 09/24/2020 13:32
By Cassie Fish, It is a pretty dull trade to watch but CME cattle futures have managed to build on yesterday’s gains today. At the same time, it looks as if cash cattle will trade another $1to $1.50 higher this week than last week. And boxed beef prices have unexpectedly advanced mid-week, giving many hope that the cutout has ...
BeefRead 09/03/2020 12:51
By Cassie Fish, Each day this week has seen cash cattle prices leak lower. Today trade has occurred at $102 in Texas and western Nebraska, new lows for the week following $104, then $103 trades. Volume is light as some cattle feeders are reluctant to hit lower bids as some believe cash cattle prices will be higher next week. ...
BeefRead 08/25/2020 13:14
By Cassie Fish, It’s a classic turnaround Tuesday today with CME cattle futures staging a modest rally, some contracts filling the gap left yesterday. It’s a quiet, light volume trade with the Oct LC giving ground on the spreads to the back months that were hit hard thanks to the big placement in July. Almost 8k cattle sold yesterday ...
BeefRead 08/19/2020 12:51
By Cassie Fish, Boxed beef values lag on the way down and are the last to rally. This morning the USDA choice cutout value reached $223.06, up $2.20 the highest price since June 17, that’s almost $23 off the low. Finally wholesale beef prices are stronger than cash cattle prices and live cattle futures prices, after being in third ...
BeefRead 08/17/2020 13:06
By Cassie Fish, CME cattle futures continue to methodically trend higher, taking out last week’s highs by just a bit, in quiet trade. The only change from last week is that Dec LC is leading today and Aug LC is struggling to keep up with all but April LC. Today is the sixth consecutive gain for futures and each ...

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