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Public rejection of genetically engineered (GE) plants in Germany is widespread; there is no commercial GE crop production and practically no foods labeled as Genetically Modified Organisms (“GMO”) on the market. Despite this, Germany is home to world-class companies that develop and supply GE seeds globally. The decision of the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU) on the regulation of genome editing puts the future of the domestic plant breeding sector in jeopardy. Germany’s livestock industry is a major consumer of imported GE soybeans for use as animal feed.
2019 Argentine dairy production is projected at 10,650,000 tons, down 1.8 percent from 2018 due to abnormally warm weather during the first half of the year. Exports are projected at 202,000 down 12 percent on lack of exportable supplies of powdered milk. Argentine consumers struggle to maintain household dairy consumption in the face of inflation and currency devaluation. 2020 exports are forecast up at 215,000 tons as production recovers.
The Government of Algeria’s strategy to improve domestic production to reduce imports of dairy products remains. Dairy products are subject to the temporary additional safeguard duty that the Government implemented in January 2019 to replace the import ban. Opportunities exist for the U.S. dairy, US livestock, genetics and farm equipment industry to supply the Algerian market.
Milk production in Japan is projected to remain flat in 2019 before increasing around 1 percent in 2020 as recovery in the heifer population brings productivity gains. Lower than expected summer temperatures in 2019 reduced consumption of chilled dairy drinks and frozen products, pushing excess volumes of fluid milk to further processing. Butter and nonfat dry milk (NFDM) production is projected to grow 2 percent in 2019 and 2020 on higher milk supplies. Increased NFDM production amid low consumption pushed NFDM stocks to near historic highs in mid-2019, causing the government of Japan to reduce planned imports by 6,000 MT. Cheese production is projected to remain relatively flat in 2019 and 2020 as imports rise to meet growing demand.
On April 24, 2019, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD) officially announced the detection of Fall Armyworm (FAW), Spodoptera frugiperda, in Vietnam. Since then FAW has spread rapidly throughout the country, Post estimates that over 35,000 hectares of corn has been affected by FAW in 40 provinces. FAW damage has resulted in economic loss due to a decrease in yields and increased costs for insecticides and labor. The Vietnamese government is working to control the outbreak and minimize the damage.
Greece continues to break records with the number of tourist arrivals in the country rising to almost 35 million tourists in 2018, up 16 percent compared to the previous year, and is forecast to further increase. Surging tourism is expected to help Greece record its highest annual real GDP growth in a decade. This report gives an overview of the Greek foodservice industry and its sectors. It also outlines current market trends and identifies best product prospects.
The Egypt Food Service - Hotel Restaurant Institutional (HRI) sector’s sales grew in 2018; reaching $17.4 billion, representing about 7 percent of Egypt’s gross domestic product (GDP) of $251 billion. Imports of consumer-oriented products decreased by 4 percent in 2018. Apart from U.S.- origin beef liver, U.S. food and agricultural products imports continue to confront growing competition from other suppliers such as the European Union that benefit from favorable free trade agreements.
Post estimates marketing year (MY) 2019/20 cotton production at 29.3 million 480 lb. bales (37.6 million 170-kilogram bales/6.3 MMT) with a planting area of 13 million hectares, the highest ever on record, surpassing 12.8 million hectares in MY 2014/15. Significant rains in the past month have led to moderate to good conditions across growing regions, likely to improve yield prospects. In an effort to reverse weakening demand in the domestic textile and export markets, the Government of India announced a series of new measures and schemes.
Last year, the European Union-28 (EU-28) was once again the largest export market for U.S. tree nuts. In 2018, U.S. shipments of tree nuts to the EU-28 reached $2.8 billion. U.S. almond sales (both in-shell and shelled) totaled $1.6 billion, followed by pistachios with $516 million, and walnuts with almost $344 million. The growing popularity of healthy snacking, higher incomes, and global market dynamics are making the EU nut market more attractive than ever. As of December 14, 2019, a new framework Regulation (EU) 2017/625 will update the implementing regulations setting specifics on the recognition of the Pre-Export Check (PEC) program for almonds, and on the increased control levels for pistachios. As of the date of this report, the fin.
After surging in MY2018/19, Philippine grain imports (wheat, corn and rice) will decline in MY2019/20 as the country returns to more normal weather conditions following last year’s El Niño, with higher production and adequate inventories. The arrival of African Swine Fever in the Philippines will lead to a 10 percent reduction in hog feed demand, resulting in feed wheat imports falling 500,000 tons in MY 2018/19 to 7.1 million tons. Corn imports are forecast to decline nearly 7 percent to 700,000 tons due to improved production and sufficient stocks. Smallholder rice farmers will continue planting rice despite low prices, while progressive rice producers will become more efficient in MY2019/20. Although area harvested is lowered, rice produ.
Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) allows permitted import of genetically engineered (GE) products based on the 2009 Law on “Genetically Modified Organisms” (“GMOs”) and its pertaining bylaws. To date, the first and only GE product approved for import is GE soybean meal for feed. BiH’s anti-GE border practices, which include random testing, can occasionally influence commercial imports of grains. Knowledge about agricultural biotechnology is still very limited, even among scientists and agricultural officials. The policy makers and farmers’ main concern is that the country’s export markets could be threatened if GE production were allowed in the country.
This report contains FAS Kyiv’s revised production forecasts for MY2019/20 as well as trade estimates for MY2018/19. Weather conditions in Ukraine have been favorable for plant growth during the timeframe covered in this report. As a result, Post has revised production volume – increasing estimates for all grains compared with previous estimates in the 2019 Annual Grain Report.
On September 19, 2019, Japan’s Consumer Affairs Agency (CAA) announced genome edited foods that do not contain foreign DNA are not subject to the Food Labeling Standard. The CAA also released guidance for voluntary labeling. Other regulatory authorities in the Government of Japan continue to develop genome edited product handling guidelines.
Tunisia’s biosafety framework was drafted in 2014 and is being reviewed by its government with the expectation that it will be enacted by mid-2020. Tunisia currently places no restrictions on the importation of genetically engineered (GE) crops. However, Tunisian activities relating to agricultural biotechnology activities have been limited to building scientific capacity and developing a basic understanding of the technology. No GE products have been developed or commercialized for local production. Tunisia continues to import agricultural products derived from GE technologies, particularly feed grains used to support its development as a competitive livestock and poultry producer.

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