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Dollar rebounds broadly in early US session after positive surprise in job data. However, upside is relatively limited at the time of writing, capped by disappointing wage growth. For now the greenback remains the weakest one for the week. Canadian Dollar’s fortune reversed after much worse than expected employment data. It’s not the worst performing […]. .
BOC left the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% in December. The accompanying statement turned more hawkish than October. Despite ongoing trade war uncertainty, policymakers remained upbeat about the domestic economic growth. They also acknowledged that the global economy has stabilised. It now appears that the central bank would prefer to leave the policy rate on […]. .
Despite the dovish surprise in October, we expect BOC to leave the policy rate unchanged at 1.75% this week. Economic data released during the inter-meeting period stayed firm, allowing the central bank to take more time to monitor the situation. However, it will continue to warn that US-China trade war remains the biggest uncertainty to […]. .
As widely anticipated, RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 0.75% in December. The central bank was cautiously optimistic about domestic economic development. While seeing turning points on the economic in general and the housing market in particular, the members remained concerned about consumption and the job market. They reiterated an easing bias on the […]. .
The US markets were sold off deeply overnight after after poor ISM manufacturing data and renewed tariff threats. Dollar also suffered deep selling pressure, together with Canadian. Though, there was no clear fund flows into the Japanese Yen, as risk aversion was countered by surge in major treasury yields. On the other hand, Australian and […]. .
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended November 26. NET LENGTH in USD Index slipped -487 contracts to 24 138. Speculative long positions fell -2 276 contracts and short positions dropped -1 789 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET SHORT for EUR futures fell -1 087 contracts to 61 416. […]. .
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended November 26, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures soared +40 961 contracts to 470 936 for the week. Speculative long positions rose 12 317 contracts while shorts declined -26 844 contracts. Traders were speculating that OPEC and non-OPEC producers would agreed to deepen […]. .
Market sentiments are generally weighed down by renewed trade concerns after US President Donald Trump’s decision to restore steel and aluminum tariffs on Brazil and Argentina. Additionally, China formally started some form of retaliation against US on its support on Hong Kong’s democracy movement. Dollar is trading broadly lower except versus Canadian. Meanwhile, Swiss Franc […]. .
Purchasing Manager Indices (PMIs) suggested that the manufacturing China improved in November. Improvement in manufacturing PMIs signaled that upcoming industrial production data can surprise to the upside. The official PMI improved +0.9 point to 50.2 in November. This marks the first expansion (above 50) since March and the second largest reading in the year. The […]. .
Sterling ended as the strongest one last week as it looks like Conservative is set to have a majority win in the upcoming elections. If materialized, UK is finally heading for an orderly Brexit next January, clearing all uncertainties. On the other hand, Japanese Yen was the weakest one, partly in reaction to the record […]. .
European majors are trading generally lower today, in quiet markets just ahead of monthly close. On the other hand, Dollar is among the strongest together with Aussie and Kiwi. Despite steep selloff in Asian stocks, European markets recover after initial weakness. Bond markets are steady with major treasury yields rising slightly. Such development should keep […]. .

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