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China’s National Health Commission (NHC) and the State Administration of Market Regulation (SAMR) notified revisions to the National Food Safety Standard: Milk Powder (GB19644-xxxx) to the WTO SPS Committee for comment as G/SPS/N/CHN/1160. The comment period has passed. China has not announced a proposed date of entry into force for the standard. This report contains an unofficial English translation of the draft standard solely for informational purposes.
FAS Amman forecasts Jordan’s wheat imports in marketing year (MY) 2020/2021 to reach 900,000 metric tons (MT). Post foresees a drop of 100,000 MT in MY 2020/2021 import volumes compared to the earlier U.S. Department of Agriculture’s (USDA) official MY 2019/2020 figure of 1 million metric tons. The Ministry of Industry, Trade and Supply is set to slow international wheat purchases for its targeted assistance program. FAS Amman forecasts corn imports in MY 2020/2021 at 500,000 MT, down 600,000 MT or 55 percent lower than the USDA official MY 2020/2021 figure of 1.1 million metric tons. Post attributes the drop in imports to decreased demand for feed corn by Jordan's poultry and dairy sectors. Rice imports in MY 2020/2021 are forecast at 215,
Following the conclusion of Bulgaria’s rapeseed harvest in late July, Ministry of Agriculture (MinAg) and industry reports indicate lower than expected yields and production. Post revises its rapeseed production forecast to 280,000 metric tons (MT). On August 28, 2020, MinAg reported total rapeseed production at 258,000 MT, a 36-percent decline from marketing year (MY) 2019/20. Reported area harvested and average yields were 25 percent and 14 percent, respectively, lower from last year. The sunflower harvest began in mid-August and was at 78 percent complete as of September 10. Hot and dry weather in July and August negatively affected yields. Post reduces its forecast for the sunflower crop to 1.8 million metric tons (MMT).
Storms, drought, fires, and bark beetle have caused immense damage to German forests in recent years. Waldsterben (Forest dieback) is slowly gaining public attention. The German government has started funding programs to support the transformation from softwood to hardwood with the goal of making the forest more resilient to climate change. This is likely to reduce the export potential of the German forest industry, opening up chances for suppliers of softwood. This report provides a status update of German forests and forest product trade, with a focus on U.S. exports.
Due to an expected sharp increase in local wheat production on favorable weather conditions and record yields, South Africa’s imports of wheat and wheaten products in the 2020/21 MY is expected to drop by 20 percent. Post estimates South Africa could import around 1.6 million tons of wheat and wheaten products in the 2020/21 MY, down 400,000 tons from the expected 2.0 million tons of wheat and wheaten products imported in the 2019/20 MY. South Africa’s 2020/21 MY expected wheat crop of around 2.0 million tons will be the highest since the 2008/09 MY. South Africa’s local wheat price increased sharply to reached record high levels in April 2020 and again in August 2020, amidst a COVID-19 lockdown, diminishing any major increases in the local.
The dual crises of the COVID-19 pandemic and African Swine Fever have impacted the Philippine hog and chicken sectors, traditionally the strongest performers in the agricultural economy. Post lowers MY2020/2021 wheat imports to 6.85 million MT, two percent below the current forecast, due to reduced hog demand for feed wheat and slower growth in the milling sector. Corn imports in MY2020/2021 are also lowered to 375,000 MT from the current forecast of 600,000 MT, reflecting reduced demand from broilers. Meanwhile, rice production during the same period is raised over six percent on account of a projected strong first quarter of the marketing year. Rice imports on the other hand are lowered to 2.6 million MT, 13 percent below the current fore.
Since July 1, 2020, the USMCA certification of origin requires the certifier (importer, exporter, or producer) to cover nine mandated minimum data elements, replacing the old NAFTA certificate of origin. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Government of Canada pushed back most regulatory initiatives (including Front of Package Labeling) until late 2020 or early 2021, and delayed enforcement of certain measures (including Safe Food for Canadians Regulations requirements for the manufactured food sector).
On September 14, 2020, Denmark notified the World Trade Organization of its proposal to ban the sale of concentrated pesticides and biocides to private individuals via G/TBT/N/DNK/102. The public comment period for the notification will close on October 21, 2020. Interested U.S. parties are encouraged to share their comments and/or concerns with the National Institute of Standards and Technology at . For potential inclusion in the U.S. official position, please send your comments by October 7, 2020.
Feed production is projected to increase slightly, reflecting stable livestock production and a slight increase in poultry production. Corn consumption is forecast at 16 million tons in MY2020/21. Sorghum consumption in MY2020/21 is forecast to continue its downward trend as inexpensive corn and rice take its place in Japan's overall compound feed mix. MY2019/20 barley imports are estimated to increase slightly to meet demand from the cattle industry. Sluggish food service demand and strong domestic production are forecast to lower overall wheat imports to 5.45 million tons in MY2020/21. MY2020/21 rice production is expected to increase slightly but declining table rice consumption is forecast to raise stocks and lower prices. The COVID-19
On June 16, 2020, Taiwan was officially recognized as free from foot and mouth disease (FMD) without vaccinations by the World Organization for Animal Health (OIE). Taiwan has been shut out of the global pork market since a 1997 FMD outbreak. The loss of export markets forced Taiwan producers to focus on pork production for the Taiwan market, which resulted in the reemergence of more traditional swine production practices. While Taiwan now has an OIE-recognized FMD-free status, Taiwan remains as an epidemic area for classical swine fever (CSF). CSF will need to be addressed by Taiwan’s animal health regulatory authorities to enable Taiwan pork producers to fully participate in the global pork market.
FAS/Canberra’s sugar cane production estimate for Australia is revised down for MY 2020/21 to 31 MMT, from 32 MMT previously, as dry conditions had a greater impact than first considered on production volumes. In addition to lower-than-expected sugar cane production, sugar content of the cane this season is down due to a mild winter. This has resulted in a downward revision of sugar production for MY 2020/21 to 4.3 MMT. If realized this would be nearly the same as MY 2019/20. Australia’s sugar exports are also revised lower to 3.4 MMT in MY 2020/21, down from 3.6 MMT in MY 2019/20.
Post expects a larger drop in pork production of 20 percent in 2020 as African Swine Fever remains a major concern in Luzon and parts of Mindanao. Chicken production is also likely to decline by 15 percent this year, reversing the initially bullish outlook. Demand for beef, pork, and chicken remains weak due to limited operations of the food service sector and other COVID19 quarantine restrictions. Although shipments of chicken leg quarters and pork have slowed significantly, imports of mechanically deboned chicken meat remain strong due to the growing demand for processed meat products during the pandemic. Farm gate prices of meat and poultry continue to increase, but retail prices have remained relatively stable as a result of the Philipp.
Steady demand for chicken meat and ample feed supplies are expected to lift production to 4.725 MMT (RTC) in 2021. Exports in 2021 are projected at 220,000 MT (RTC) with shipments to traditional and recently opened markets expected to grow at a slower rate than the 22 percent growth in 2020 driven by entry into the Chinese market. A weaker ruble will spur export initiatives but harm margins from domestic sales. In this environment, leading poultry companies are expected to increase their market shares at the expense of smaller players.
On September 14, 2020, China notified the National Food Safety Standard on Whey Powder and Whey Protein Powder (GB 11674-XXXX) (Draft Standard for Comments) to the WTO SPS Committee as G/SPS/N/CHN/1168. Comments can be sent to the China’s SPS Enquiry Point at . The deadline for comment submission is November 13, 2020. China has not announced a proposed date of adoption of the standard. This report contains an unofficial translation of the draft standard.
The turnover of the Dutch foodservice market in 2019 was valued at $16 billion, up four percent from the year before. This year, the Dutch HRI industry is being hit hard by the social distancing measures imposed to combat the spread of coronavirus (COVID-19). Online ordering and delivery of meals, however, is benefiting and saw sales grow, in some cases by as much as 25 percent. Dutch consumers continue to seek out food products that are healthy, authentic, and tasty. Foodservice chains from the United States are and continue to be successful on the Dutch market because they have been able to respond to changing consumer needs. This report further presents a road map for U.S. exporters who wish to expand business in the Dutch foodservice ma.

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